Each week, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke dig into the latest in politics and the numbers behind it. They break down what's happening, why, and what might happen next. They'll be covering everything from elections to betting markets to AI. Expect rigorous analysis and a few hot takes, but no spin and no false sense of certainty. New episodes drop every Wednesday evening!
Curated by: Still Counting (12 videos)
Can Republicans Outrun Trump’s Bad Poll Numbers? SUBSCRIBE 👉 @StillCountingPodcast On today’s episode, Galen, Clare, and Nate take a closer look at the latest midterms polling, where the data could be wrong, the likelihood for errors, and whether the apparent blue-wave story is as convincing as it looks. Then, they stress-test the case for and against the polls, examining both the bull and bear cases for believing the numbers. 00:00 - The Current State of the Midterms 08:10 - How Believable Are These Polls? 13:25 - What Makes a “Good” Poll? 18:00 - Can Democrats Trust Their Lead? 20:53 - Republicans Are Losing Ground in Midterms 27:37 - Can Republicans Outrun Trump? 25:33 - Ad Break 31:27 - JD Vance Responds to Midterms Chances 36:47 - Nate’s Flipper Model Update 43:13 - Survey: Voter’s Top Concerns 46:48 - Stress Testing The Blue Wave 54:12 - Bull vs Bear Midterm Case for Republicans 59:00 - Will This Be Like 2018? 1:02:00 - Could 2026 Polling Be Wrong? CHECK OUT OUR SPONSOR: INCOGNI - http://incogni.com/counting CODE: COUNTING Each week, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke dig into the latest in politics and the numbers behind it. They break down what's happening, why, and what might happen next. They'll be covering everything from elections to betting markets to AI. Expect rigorous analysis and a few hot takes, but no spin and no false sense of certainty. Head to CrookedCon.com for tickets, lineup announcements, and more! http://crookedcon.com/ For a transcript of an episode of Still Counting, please email transcripts@crooked.com. Photos courtesy of AP Photo Archive Crooked believes that we need a better conversation about politics, culture, and the world around us—one that doesn’t just focus on what’s broken, but what we can do to fix it. At a time when it’s increasingly easy to feel cynical or hopeless, former Obama staffers Jon Favreau, Jon Lovett, and Tommy Vietor have created a place where people can have sane conversations that inform, entertain, and inspire action. In 2017 they started Crooked with Pod Save America—a no-bullshit conversation about politics. Since then, we continue to add shows, voices, and opportunities for activism, because it’s up to all of us to do our part to build a better world. That’s it. End of mission. Learn more about Crooked at http://www.crooked.com Follow Crooked on Facebook / crookedmedia Follow Crooked on Instagram / crookedmedia